The Tutor has his OWN formula when he drafts. The formula includes everything from ADPs from major sports sites (15 of them), Offensive line rankings, strength of schedule, playoff strength of schedule, talent surrounding them, and what option they are on the team. It's pretty complex but it makes it easier on draft day. The Tutor is already picking the moment it's his turn, while others wait 5-10 minutes because they are unsure. Is it foolproof? Nope. Injuries happen, but not just to the player, but their "surrounding teammates." Some guys don't live up to their hype and some guys just flat out lose their jobs.
This blog will contain the top ten or fifteen players at each position according to my rankings. I'll also post guys I hate to draft, and late round sleepers.
Top 10 QBs
1. Vick
2. Brady
3. Rodgers
4. Brees
5. Rivers
6. Manning
7. Romo
8. Roethlisberger
9. Schaub
10. Ryan
Top 15 RBs (non PPR)
1. Foster (keep an eye out for his current injury)
2. Peterson
3. Johnson (contract situation is scary)
4. Charles
5. Rice
6. McCoy (bump a few for PPR league)
7. Jones-Drew
8. McFadden
9. Gore (if healthy, he's a top 5 RB)
10. Mendenhall
11. Turner
12. Jackson, S
13. Fotre (quietly a great fantasy producer)
14. Hillis (ended the year poorly)
15. Blount
Top 15 WRs
1. Johnson, A
2. Fitzgerald
3. Nicks
4. Johnson, C
5. White
6. Wallace
7. Jennings
8. Wayne
9. Jackson, D
10. Jackson, V
11. Austin
12. Williams, M (TB)
13. Bryant
14. Bowe
15. Marshall
Top 10 TEs
1. Gates
2. Clark
3. Witten
4. Finley
5. Davis
6. Daniels
7. Graham
8. Lewis
9. Winslow
10. Gronkowski
Guys I hate
Peyton Manning and Michael Vick scare me this year. If you draft them, draft a back-up quickly like Bradford or brother Manning. Peyton just isn't healthy and wearing down and Michael Vick is bound to miss a game or two.
I never touch Mike Shanahan running backs. So I'm not touching Hightower, Helu, or Torain. I just don't trust Mikey.
I don't like Peyton Hillis this year. He ended last year poorly and now Hardesty, who would have been starter last year is back. He'll steak some touchdowns, but he's not going to play like he played at the beginning last year.
Usually, I would like Ryan Grant, but with the emergence of Alex Green, no, not James Starks, I'm not touching him.
Hell, I'm not picking any Green Bay players at skilled positions. Too many balls to go around to Jennings, Driver, James, Nelson, Finley, and those running backs. I'm sure a few of them may have good seasons, but I am not taking the chance.
Steve Smith, either of them, will not be on ANY of my teams. One is getting older and has a rookie quarterback and the other one is buried 4-5 deep on the most talented offensive team that I've ever seen.
Pierre Thomas, will not be on any of my teams either. Saints like to throw and they drafted a stud running back.
Last season, no receiver hurt fantasy teams in the last month of the season than Anquan Boldin, yet people still overvalue him. "But Lee Evans is in town." So what. Really? Lee Evans? This is a hard nose running football team that also lost Todd Heap, a guy, who help keep some pressure of Boldin.
There are 3 other guys like Thomas and Grant, that I'm not touching because their are talented guys right behind them in the depth chart. Those guys are Ryan Matthews, Felix Jones, and Joseph Addai.
My TE list is limited to only Tony Gonzalez, Chris Cooley, and Shiancoe. Tight End is a pretty deep position this year, so stay away from the OLD (T.G) and two guys (CC & VC) who have talent on their depth chart behind them as well questionable quarterbacks.
Sleeeeeeeepers!
Now, I'm not saying he's a top 10 quarterback, but Chad Henne will have a good fantasy season and squash any question about losing his job. He will be a good bye-week filler and possible replacement for an injury.
Sam Bradford and Ryan Fitzpatrick will put up INSANE numbers this year and will make fantasy owners upset that they can't play them because they have their #1 QB already.
Fred Jackson, is being undervalued in the drafts. Truth is, he's a top 10 back in the last three years of football and DOESN'T get hurt. Don't let CJ Spiller scare you.
DeAngelo Williams has a lot of talent and the best offensive linemen yet continues to be undervalue. This is a 2nd round running back at WORST and gets slapped in the face with 4-5th round selections.
Another guy being undervalued, Marshawn Lynch, will have a terrific year. He's a solid #1 with nobody threaten to take his job.
PPR special goes to Reggie Bush. He's going to get more looks with a rookie running back as his tandem. He looks pretty good thusfar.
Running back, back-up young guy special goes to Alex Green, Jacquizz Rodgers, DeMarcus Murray, and Delone Carter. If you are in a keeper league, drafting them is a MUST. Otherwise, grab them if you have the starter. They all have lots of talent but need injuries or poor play to get their time.
Good-bye Steve Smith, hello Mario Manningham. With Nicks taking serious covering, Manningham is gonna put up the best numbers of all the #2 receivers, and half the #1s.
I know most people might call me a homer, but Braylon Edwards is going to a better situation. Crabtree is losing his spot as #1 and Edwards has something he wants to prove. He's being drafted as WR3, but will play like WR2.
There are tons of young guys with talent, but my top picks for sleeper value is AJ Green, Arrelious Benn, and Andre Roberts. These are guys being drafted 5 or more rounds past Julio Jones but will put up better numbers.
If opportunity presents, Kevin Oglretree has an opportunity to put up some good fantasy numbers. Same goes for Vincent Brown.
Possession guys, who is primed for good years, especially in a PPR format are Torrey Smith, Nate Burelson, Eric Decker, Danny Amendola, and Davone Bess.
I only have THREE Tighe End sleepers. Two of them in my mind will be top 10 tight ends, Jimmy Graham and Jared Cook. The other, Kyle Rudolph has too much talent to be kept off the field. He's a next year Jimmy Graham. (Keep an eye on Travis Beckum also)
Tips
Make sure you get a back -up quarterback who has a very very favorable match up during your starters bye week.
Other than QBs, don't even look at bye weeks.
If you are in a PPR league, the difference between a pass catching running back or possession receiver outweighs a guy who's just a long ball threat. Guys like Austin Collie and Steve Johnson, two guys you can get with your 4th and 5th rounders score MORE points weekly, than guys like Mike Wallace, Miles Austin, and DeSean Jackson do. Guys who are getting drafted in the SECOND round. Don''t believe me.....check it out yourself. That's what makes a guy like Amendola, Bess, and Harvin dangerous as well, since they are going even later than Collie and Johnson.
Don't freak out in week 2 and start trading your players (unless an injury occurs). A two game losing streak at the start of the season is no different in the middle or end. Everyone in your league will lose two in a row some point.
Lastly, don't worry about Kickers but do try to get a top 10 defense. Nothing wrong with trying to get two of them and play match up each week. It could be the difference of 10 points each week, if you typically a person who just nabs two defense in the final picks.
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